Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Ottawa Senators Game 4

Maple Leafs Eye Sweep in Ottawa After Thrilling OT Win

The Toronto Maple Leafs (3-0) travel back to Canadian Tire Centre on Friday night with a chance to close out their opening round series against the Ottawa Senators (0-3). After three tightly contested games including back-to-back overtime wins Toronto is looking to complete the sweep and advance to the second round for the first time in convincing fashion.

Game 3 was another tense battle between these two rivals. Defenseman Simon Benoit played the hero role for Toronto, scoring the overtime winner just 1:19 into the extra frame to lift the Maple Leafs to a 3-2 victory. The Leafs’ ability to finish close games has been the difference in the series, with their stars stepping up in key moments and their defense holding firm under pressure. Toronto’s special teams have been steady, and goaltender Anthony Stolarz has outdueled Ottawa’s Linus Ullmark when it matters most.

The Senators, despite the 0-3 hole, have been competitive. Ottawa has pushed Toronto to overtime in two straight games, relying on gritty play and opportunistic scoring. However, their power play has been inconsistent, and costly turnovers have repeatedly given the Leafs golden chances. Ottawa's inability to finish late in games has been costly.

Toronto enters Game 4 as a slight underdog at -105 on the moneyline, with the total set at 5.5 goals. Ottawa, priced at -115, faces a monumental task overcoming not just the 3-0 series deficit, but also Toronto’s momentum and ability to execute under pressure. Historically, only four teams have ever rallied from a 3-0 deficit in NHL playoff history.

Oddsmakers slightly favor the Senators at home, but momentum, star power, and poise in key situations all lean heavily toward Toronto. If the Leafs continue to control Ottawa’s physicality and stay disciplined defensively, they should be able to finish the job tonight.

Best Bet: Toronto Maple Leafs ML (-105)

Toronto has proven it can win tight, playoff-style games against Ottawa’s physicality. With a chance to complete the sweep, expect Anthony Stolarz to continue his strong play in net, and for William Nylander and Mitchell Marner to rise to the occasion offensively. Ottawa will make it a fight, but the Leafs' composure and clutch performances should carry them through to the next round.